Heidenheim vs Freiburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
HEI
3 - 3
KSC
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
NOR
5 - 2
HEI
12%
20%
68%
|
54 | 21 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
HEI
4 - 3
SVS
73%
16%
10%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
HOF
2 - 3
HEI
18%
22%
61%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
HEI
0 - 4
HER
18%
21%
61%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Freiburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
LUD
0 - 2
FRE
30%
26%
44%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
FRE
4 - 3
VIL
76%
17%
7%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
KSC
1 - 0
FRE
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
FRE
2 - 2
ULM
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2004 |
HOF
1 - 3
FRE
34%
26%
41%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |