Heidenheim vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
STU
1 - 2
HEI
15%
21%
65%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
HEI
1 - 4
VIL
83%
12%
5%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
ULM
3 - 0
HEI
50%
23%
27%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
HEI
0 - 2
BAH
83%
12%
6%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
BON
1 - 0
HEI
16%
20%
64%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
FRE
0 - 3
LUD
50%
25%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
KSC
3 - 0
FRE
73%
17%
10%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
FRE
0 - 2
NOR
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2004 |
SVS
4 - 0
FRE
66%
21%
13%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
FRE
0 - 0
HOF
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |