Heidenheim vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ERZ
2 - 1
HEI
28%
28%
44%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
HEI
3 - 0
SGS
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
HEI
3 - 0
FCU
38%
24%
39%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
ING
3 - 0
HEI
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 1
HEI
32%
28%
41%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
FCN
1 - 2
SGD
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FCN
3 - 1
VFR
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
FCN
3 - 2
SIO
33%
25%
41%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ING
0 - 0
FCN
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2016 |
FCN
2 - 1
KAI
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |