Heidenheim vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
LEU
1 - 3
HEI
41%
24%
35%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2022 |
HEI
2 - 1
BEE
58%
22%
21%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 2
HEI
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
KSC
3 - 2
HEI
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
HEI
3 - 0
SSV
44%
26%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2022 |
ING
3 - 1
WUR
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ING
3 - 0
SGD
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
ING
1 - 2
HAN
23%
24%
54%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
ROS
1 - 1
ING
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
HSV
3 - 0
ING
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |