Heidenheim vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
OFC
2 - 1
HEI
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
HEI
1 - 2
WER
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
EBT
1 - 1
HEI
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
HEI
6 - 1
WAC
40%
25%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
HOL
1 - 0
HEI
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
ING
0 - 0
SGD
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CZJ
2 - 0
ING
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
ING
2 - 2
UNT
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SSV
0 - 2
ING
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
OFC
0 - 1
ING
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |