Heidenauer SV vs Erzgebirge Aue II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenauer SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
EIN
1 - 1
HEI
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
DYN
1 - 0
HEI
71%
17%
13%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
HEI
0 - 0
CHE
49%
24%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
HEI
1 - 0
ROT
31%
23%
46%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
6 - 1
HEI
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
WAC
1 - 0
ERZ
77%
15%
9%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
BUD
5 - 2
ERZ
73%
17%
10%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ERZ
2 - 4
VFL
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BGL
1 - 5
ERZ
18%
21%
61%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
ERZ
0 - 3
DYN
20%
23%
57%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |