Heidenauer SV vs BSG Stahl Riesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
75.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenauer SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SVG
2 - 0
HEI
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
HEI
1 - 1
VPC
45%
22%
33%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
HEI
0 - 0
BSF
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
SGT
1 - 3
HEI
32%
23%
45%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
HEI
1 - 2
KMA
57%
20%
23%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
BSG Stahl Riesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
BSG
3 - 1
RFC
84%
12%
5%
|
61 | 11 | 50 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
VFL
1 - 0
BSG
12%
19%
69%
|
61 | 16 | 45 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
BSG
4 - 3
GWG
83%
13%
5%
|
61 | 16 | 45 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
SVG
1 - 3
BSG
12%
19%
69%
|
61 | 20 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
BSG
3 - 1
VPC
82%
13%
5%
|
61 | 16 | 45 | 0 |