Heidelberg Utd vs Port Melbourne Sharks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidelberg Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
ELS
0 - 1
HEU
13%
17%
71%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 1
HEU
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
MEL
0 - 1
HEU
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
HEU
2 - 1
DAC
76%
14%
10%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 2
HEU
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Port Melbourne Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
AVH
22%
22%
56%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
HUM
2 - 1
POR
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
POR
5 - 0
STA
73%
16%
12%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
DAN
1 - 1
POR
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
POR
0 - 0
SOU
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |