Heidelberg Utd vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
13.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidelberg Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
OAK
2 - 3
HEU
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
HEU
2 - 2
BEN
49%
23%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
DAN
1 - 2
HEU
42%
22%
35%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
HEU
2 - 1
SOU
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
HEU
2 - 2
ELS
87%
9%
4%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 1
MEL
61%
21%
19%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 1
SOU
25%
23%
53%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
AVH
1 - 1
MEL
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 2
OAK
17%
21%
62%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 1
DAC
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |