Heidelberg Utd vs Gippsland Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidelberg Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1994 |
SOU
4 - 1
HEU
74%
17%
10%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
HEU
0 - 3
PAE
42%
27%
30%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1994 |
GIF
3 - 1
HEU
59%
23%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1994 |
HEU
1 - 1
NCB
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1994 |
MZE
2 - 0
HEU
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1994 |
GIF
3 - 4
MZE
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
MEL
3 - 4
GIF
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1994 |
GIF
3 - 1
HEU
59%
23%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1994 |
MAR
2 - 3
GIF
78%
14%
8%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1994 |
GIF
1 - 3
ADE
39%
27%
35%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |