Heidelberg Utd vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
6º
4º
28
9º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidelberg Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
OAK
3 - 0
HEU
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
HEU
1 - 1
ALM
72%
16%
12%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
DAC
1 - 3
HEU
22%
20%
58%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HEU
5 - 0
MNG
78%
13%
9%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HUM
2 - 2
HEU
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
DAN
2 - 1
MNG
64%
18%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
HUM
0 - 0
DAN
72%
17%
11%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MCF
4 - 0
DAN
14%
17%
69%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
DAN
0 - 3
MEL
30%
23%
48%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DAN
3 - 0
STA
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |