Heidelberg Utd vs Dandenong City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidelberg Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 2
HEU
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 2
HEU
17%
19%
64%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
OAK
1 - 1
HEU
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
HEU
0 - 1
SOU
76%
15%
10%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
DAN
2 - 1
HEU
31%
22%
47%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dandenong City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
DAC
1 - 4
AVH
19%
20%
62%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
HUM
3 - 1
DAC
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
DAC
1 - 2
STA
76%
14%
10%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
DAN
1 - 1
DAC
58%
19%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
OAK
4 - 2
DAC
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |