Heidelberg Utd vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.5%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
81.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
12.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17.6%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.6%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidelberg Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
HEU
1 - 1
HUM
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MCF
2 - 3
HEU
13%
17%
70%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
HEU
2 - 0
MEL
49%
25%
27%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
STA
1 - 0
HEU
8%
15%
78%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
HEU
1 - 1
AVH
17%
21%
62%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
CCM
3 - 1
MEL
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CCM
0 - 0
SYD
54%
23%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
SYD
1 - 2
CCM
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 1
CCM
9%
17%
74%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
CCM
2 - 0
ADE
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |