FC Hegelmann vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
DAI
0 - 2
HLI
20%
22%
58%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FAS
1 - 1
HLI
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HLI
0 - 1
KZA
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 2
HLI
27%
27%
47%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
HLI
2 - 2
BAN
75%
17%
9%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 1
PAN
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 2
BAN
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SUD
1 - 1
ZAL
17%
24%
59%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
ZAL
4 - 0
DAI
73%
18%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ZAL
3 - 1
DTE
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |