FC Hegelmann vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
47.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
2º
6º
4º
75
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
KZA
4 - 0
HLI
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
HLI
0 - 0
PAN
34%
27%
40%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 3
HLI
18%
25%
57%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
HLI
1 - 0
BAN
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
HLI
3 - 1
FAS
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ZAL
2 - 2
FAS
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 0
ZAL
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SUD
0 - 2
ZAL
14%
22%
64%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ZAL
0 - 2
KZA
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 6
ZAL
11%
21%
68%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | +1 |