FC Hegelmann vs Kauno Žalgiris analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
2º
10º
2º
54
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 2
HLI
27%
27%
47%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
HLI
2 - 2
BAN
75%
17%
9%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SUD
0 - 1
HLI
21%
27%
53%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
HLI
0 - 1
DAI
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DTE
0 - 0
HLI
17%
24%
59%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
KZA
0 - 3
BAN
71%
20%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
KZA
2 - 1
SUD
62%
22%
15%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
KZA
1 - 0
DAI
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
KZA
3 - 0
DTE
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
KZA
0 - 1
PAN
41%
27%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |