FC Hegelmann vs Nevezis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
43%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ZAL
2 - 0
HLI
85%
12%
3%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
SUD
2 - 0
HLI
79%
16%
5%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
DTE
2 - 1
HLI
43%
27%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
HLI
3 - 0
FAS
48%
24%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
HLI
1 - 0
DAI
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nevezis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
SUD
1 - 0
NEV
70%
20%
10%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
KZA
5 - 0
NEV
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
DAI
0 - 2
NEV
31%
24%
44%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SUD
1 - 0
NEV
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
ZAL
4 - 2
NEV
76%
16%
9%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |