FC Hegelmann vs Nevezis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
28.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2020 |
BAB
1 - 4
HLI
38%
23%
40%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2020 |
FAS
0 - 4
HLI
63%
19%
18%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
HLI
4 - 0
PAN
52%
22%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
HLI
3 - 0
MIN
67%
18%
15%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2020 |
LIE
1 - 1
HLI
55%
22%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nevezis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2020 |
NEV
4 - 0
MIN
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2020 |
LIE
1 - 0
NEV
33%
22%
44%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2020 |
NEV
4 - 1
BFA
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2020 |
BFA
1 - 0
NEV
10%
13%
76%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 2020 |
TRA
0 - 3
NEV
22%
21%
57%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |