FC Hegelmann vs Vilniaus Vytis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
MIN
1 - 2
HLI
12%
19%
68%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
NEV
3 - 0
HLI
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
HLI
2 - 1
DAI
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
HLI
0 - 1
FKS
36%
24%
41%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2016 |
HLI
5 - 0
FBK
78%
15%
8%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Vilniaus Vytis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2016 |
VIV
2 - 0
TRA
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
MIN
0 - 7
VIV
11%
18%
71%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
VIV
0 - 4
FKP
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
KRA
5 - 3
VIV
15%
21%
64%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
VIV
1 - 0
SIL
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |