FC Hegelmann vs Transinvest Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
2º
10º
2º
38
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
HLI
2 - 1
LIE
40%
23%
37%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
HLI
1 - 2
BFC
72%
18%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 3
HLI
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
HLI
5 - 2
DAI
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
HLI
1 - 3
PAN
40%
26%
35%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Transinvest Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 0
FKT
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 2
BAN
48%
22%
30%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ZAL
0 - 2
FKT
76%
15%
9%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
NEV
4 - 1
FKT
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 0
BEN
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |