FC Hegelmann vs Transinvest Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
10º
2º
20
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 77 |
1º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
33 | 64 |
2º
|
63.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 57 |
3º
|
52.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 49 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 46 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 45 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 43 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 40 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 36 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 34 |
10º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
88.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
5% | 70.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
HLI
2 - 1
LIE
40%
23%
37%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
HLI
1 - 2
BFC
72%
18%
11%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 3
HLI
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
HLI
5 - 2
DAI
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
HLI
1 - 3
PAN
40%
26%
35%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Transinvest Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 0
FKT
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 2
BAN
48%
22%
30%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ZAL
0 - 2
FKT
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
NEV
4 - 1
FKT
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 0
BEN
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |