FC Hegelmann vs Siauliai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
10º
2º
24
3º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 77 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 67 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 58 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 46 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 46 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 45 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 41 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 39 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 35 |
10º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
8% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
89.5% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 85% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
KZA
4 - 1
HLI
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
HLI
3 - 2
SUD
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
DAI
0 - 2
HLI
18%
25%
57%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
BAB
2 - 3
HLI
14%
20%
66%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
HLI
2 - 1
DTE
71%
19%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
FAS
0 - 0
BAN
56%
25%
20%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
DAI
2 - 2
FAS
24%
26%
50%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FAS
3 - 3
DTE
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 0
FAS
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
FAS
1 - 2
ZAL
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |