FC Hegelmann vs Siauliai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
2º
6º
4º
62
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HLI
1 - 1
DTE
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HLI
2 - 0
SUD
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
DAI
1 - 2
HLI
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
HLI
1 - 1
KZA
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
4 - 0
HLI
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FAS
3 - 1
KZA
37%
24%
39%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FAS
1 - 1
KZA
38%
27%
36%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
FAS
2 - 0
TRA
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 1
FAS
21%
25%
54%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 1
FAS
18%
24%
59%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |