FC Hegelmann vs FK Panevėžys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
10º
2º
21
4º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 79 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
|
2º
|
33 | 64 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 59 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 46 |
4º
|
30% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 44 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 43 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 40 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 38 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 36 |
10º
|
33% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
4% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
91% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
5% | 87% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 3
HLI
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
HLI
2 - 2
FAS
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
KZA
1 - 2
HLI
49%
25%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
HLI
2 - 3
FKT
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
HLI
2 - 1
LIE
40%
23%
37%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
BAN
72%
20%
9%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
SUD
1 - 0
PAN
20%
28%
53%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 0
DAI
71%
20%
9%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DTE
0 - 0
PAN
13%
24%
63%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 0
FKT
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |