FC Hegelmann vs Dainava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
2º
6º
4º
31
4º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
HLI
6 - 1
BFC
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
HLI
1 - 1
BFC
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
HLI
1 - 0
TRA
49%
24%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
KZA
3 - 2
HLI
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
HLI
3 - 3
DAI
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Dainava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
DAI
2 - 0
WIG
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
DAI
3 - 0
MCF
63%
18%
19%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
DTE
1 - 4
DAI
27%
23%
50%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
TRA
3 - 0
DAI
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
HLI
3 - 3
DAI
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |