FC Hegelmann vs Banga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
2º
6º
4º
36
6º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
HLI
2 - 3
FAS
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
ATM
0 - 4
HLI
8%
16%
76%
|
67 | 35 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
DTE
2 - 0
HLI
13%
23%
64%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
HLI
6 - 0
SUD
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
DAI
1 - 0
HLI
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Banga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
DTE
1 - 2
BAN
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BAB
0 - 3
BAN
45%
22%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
BAN
2 - 1
DAI
26%
26%
49%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 2
ZAL
10%
20%
70%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 0
BAN
74%
18%
8%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |