Heesseler vs Wilhelmshaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
55.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heesseler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
OSN
1 - 0
HEE
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
HEE
2 - 5
MEP
14%
21%
66%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
VFB
11 - 1
HEE
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
HEE
0 - 7
BSV
14%
21%
65%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
BAV
3 - 0
HEE
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Wilhelmshaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
WIL
0 - 2
LIN
77%
15%
8%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
GEL
4 - 0
WIL
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
WIL
1 - 0
LAN
26%
24%
50%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
HAV
3 - 1
WIL
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
WIL
1 - 1
AHA
20%
22%
58%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +1 |