Heesseler vs Havelse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
58.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heesseler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2009 |
HEE
3 - 1
PRH
27%
22%
51%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
AHA
4 - 5
HEE
69%
18%
13%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
HAV
6 - 2
HEE
81%
13%
7%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
HEE
3 - 0
LIN
41%
23%
36%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
HEE
0 - 4
BAV
24%
23%
53%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Havelse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
HAV
4 - 2
VFL
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
HAV
6 - 2
HEE
81%
13%
7%
|
42 | 15 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
BOR
0 - 1
HAV
19%
22%
60%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
HAV
2 - 0
PEW
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
HAV
3 - 1
GEL
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |