Heesseler vs Bavenstedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
52.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heesseler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
HEE
1 - 4
VFL
25%
23%
52%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
WIL
3 - 2
HEE
45%
24%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BOR
2 - 3
HEE
66%
20%
15%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
HEE
1 - 8
AHA
44%
22%
34%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
HEE
3 - 2
PEW
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bavenstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
BAV
3 - 1
OSN
51%
23%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
BAV
1 - 3
VFL
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
MEP
2 - 2
BAV
61%
21%
19%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
BOR
0 - 0
BAV
32%
25%
44%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
BAV
0 - 3
VFB
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |