Heeslinger SC vs VfL Oldenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
10º
6º
21
9º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
8º
|
30 | 60 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 57 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 56 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 53 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 52 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 45 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 45 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 44 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 39 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 36 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
26% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 29 |
18º
|
46% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
9% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 45% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 42.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heeslinger SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AHA
0 - 2
HEE
39%
25%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
TUB
2 - 1
HEE
62%
20%
18%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
HEE
2 - 3
SCH
53%
22%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HEE
4 - 2
HSC
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
GER
0 - 3
HEE
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
VfL Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
VFL
3 - 0
GER
39%
24%
38%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
VFL
1 - 1
SCH
41%
23%
36%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VOR
4 - 1
VFL
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VFL
0 - 3
SVE
61%
20%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MEC
0 - 1
VFL
58%
20%
22%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |