Heeslinger SC vs MTV Eintracht Celle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
39.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
10º
6º
24
1º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
8º
|
30 | 60 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 57 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 56 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 53 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 52 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 45 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 45 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 44 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 39 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 36 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
26% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 29 |
18º
|
46% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
9% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 73% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 8% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 18.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heeslinger SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BSV
5 - 0
HEE
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
HEE
0 - 1
BOR
35%
24%
41%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
HEE
1 - 1
ADF
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
EIB
2 - 1
HEE
54%
23%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HEE
2 - 1
WIL
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
MTV Eintracht Celle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MEC
1 - 0
GER
52%
21%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
VOR
1 - 0
MEC
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MEC
1 - 3
SVE
78%
13%
9%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MEC
4 - 1
HSC
67%
17%
16%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BSV
1 - 2
MEC
37%
24%
39%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +2 |