Heerenveen vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
RKC
1 - 3
SCH
10%
17%
73%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
SCH
3 - 2
VIT
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
PSV
2 - 1
SCH
68%
18%
14%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
SCH
2 - 1
SPA
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ADO
1 - 1
SCH
28%
23%
49%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
AJA
0 - 2
WIL
83%
12%
6%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
WIL
4 - 0
SPA
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
ADO
3 - 3
WIL
35%
25%
41%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
WIL
2 - 1
PSV
12%
18%
71%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
GRO
2 - 0
WIL
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -2 |