Heerenveen vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 4
SCH
27%
23%
51%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SCH
2 - 2
PSV
9%
16%
75%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 1
ZWO
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 2
SCH
53%
22%
25%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SCH
0 - 2
AZA
21%
22%
58%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
WIL
1 - 1
AZA
22%
22%
56%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
WIL
2 - 1
AZA
15%
20%
65%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
VIT
3 - 2
WIL
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
VVV
2 - 1
WIL
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
WIL
1 - 2
GRO
42%
25%
34%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |