Heerenveen vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2007 |
AJA
4 - 0
SCH
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
SCH
5 - 1
FEY
31%
24%
45%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
AZA
3 - 1
SCH
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
WIL
1 - 3
SCH
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
SCH
1 - 1
ADO
73%
18%
10%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
WIL
0 - 2
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
RKC
1 - 1
WIL
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
WIL
1 - 3
SCH
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
UTR
3 - 0
WIL
57%
24%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
WIL
1 - 0
NEC
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |