Heerenveen vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1995 |
NAC
2 - 3
SCH
61%
22%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
NEC
3 - 0
SCH
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1995 |
SCH
0 - 1
GAE
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
SPA
2 - 0
SCH
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1995 |
SCH
1 - 1
FCD
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1995 |
WIL
1 - 3
NEC
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1995 |
GAE
4 - 2
WIL
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1995 |
WIL
1 - 0
SPA
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1995 |
WIL
0 - 0
RJC
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
AJA
7 - 0
WIL
80%
13%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |