Heerenveen vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1990 |
VIT
2 - 0
SCH
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1990 |
SCH
0 - 1
SVV
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
SPA
2 - 1
SCH
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
SCH
1 - 4
AJA
22%
22%
56%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
ADO
3 - 2
SCH
57%
22%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1990 |
WIL
0 - 2
PSV
19%
24%
57%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1990 |
MVV
3 - 1
WIL
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1990 |
WIL
2 - 2
NEC
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
UTR
1 - 0
WIL
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1990 |
WIL
4 - 1
VOL
55%
24%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |