Heerenveen vs Ventspils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
24.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
SCH
0 - 2
FEY
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
HER
3 - 1
SCH
27%
25%
47%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
SCP
1 - 1
SCH
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
SCH
3 - 1
RKC
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
AJA
5 - 1
SCH
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
VEN
0 - 1
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
DIN
0 - 3
VEN
29%
28%
43%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
SCP
1 - 1
VEN
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
LIE
1 - 1
VEN
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
VEN
0 - 2
FCS
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |