Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
38.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
9º
16º
12º
20
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 75 |
1º
|
48.5% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 74 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 66 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 63 |
4º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 61 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 59 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 42 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 41 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 41 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 40 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 36 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
70% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 19 |
18º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
15.5% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
77.5% | 60.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5.5% | 27.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
NEC
3 - 0
SCH
54%
23%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
ZWO
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
SCH
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 1
GRO
41%
24%
35%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
TWE
2 - 0
SCH
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 2
ALM
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PSV
2 - 1
SPA
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
FOR
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RKC
1 - 2
SPA
24%
24%
52%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
GAE
48%
25%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |