Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1996 |
VIT
1 - 1
SCH
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1996 |
GRO
1 - 5
SCH
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
SCH
0 - 1
NAC
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
FOR
2 - 4
SCH
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
SCH
2 - 0
AJA
24%
24%
52%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
GRO
2 - 4
NEC
76%
16%
9%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
NEC
2 - 0
AJA
11%
20%
70%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
GRA
4 - 0
NEC
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1996 |
NAC
1 - 1
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
NEC
0 - 0
AZA
39%
25%
37%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |