Heerenveen vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
SCH
2 - 2
PSV
29%
25%
45%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
TWE
2 - 0
SCH
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SCH
4 - 1
SPA
73%
17%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
RJC
4 - 2
SCH
31%
25%
43%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
SCH
4 - 1
NEC
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 1
NAC
34%
26%
41%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 0
RJC
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
FEY
0 - 0
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
NAC
3 - 0
ADO
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
HER
3 - 0
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |