Heerenveen vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 0
SCH
23%
24%
53%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
AJA
0 - 1
SCH
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
SCH
2 - 0
RJC
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2009 |
FEY
0 - 3
SCH
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
SCH
3 - 1
FEY
53%
21%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
TWE
4 - 1
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
VOL
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
PSV
2 - 2
NAC
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 2
GRO
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
UTR
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |