UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 8-4
Heerenveen vs Liepājas Metalurgs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2001 |
LIE
3 - 2
SCH
53%
22%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
SCH
1 - 1
TWE
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
AZA
2 - 2
SCH
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
SCH
0 - 0
VIT
41%
26%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
PSV
3 - 0
SCH
72%
17%
12%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Liepājas Metalurgs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2001 |
LIE
3 - 2
SCH
53%
22%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2001 |
LIE
2 - 1
CAO
63%
19%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
CAO
0 - 1
LIE
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
LIE
2 - 1
VAL
81%
13%
5%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
LIE
2 - 1
FKR
89%
9%
3%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |