Heerenveen vs Harkemase Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
5.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
UTR
1 - 4
SCH
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 1
GRA
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 1
SCH
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 1
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
VVV
0 - 2
SCH
23%
22%
55%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Harkemase Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 0
NOO
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
RIJ
4 - 1
HAR
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 3
ARC
65%
19%
16%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LIS
1 - 1
HAR
46%
23%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
HAR
4 - 2
WIL
30%
23%
47%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +2 |