Heerenveen vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
SCH
2 - 0
EXC
50%
23%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
TWE
1 - 1
SCH
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
SCH
1 - 1
WIL
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2002 |
SCH
2 - 0
PRO
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
NEC
4 - 2
SCH
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
RJC
5 - 0
GRA
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 3
NEC
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
GRA
0 - 1
TWE
34%
25%
40%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
PSV
4 - 0
GRA
84%
12%
4%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
FEY
2 - 0
GRA
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |