Heerenveen vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
67.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
6º
10º
8º
82
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
67 | 67 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 2
SCH
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
UTR
1 - 0
SCH
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 3
VIT
34%
27%
40%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 0
SCH
27%
26%
48%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SCH
3 - 1
GRO
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
FEY
4 - 4
NEC
79%
13%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FEY
2 - 2
PSV
44%
23%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
TWE
1 - 1
FEY
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
FEY
2 - 0
NEC
77%
15%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
46%
23%
32%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |