Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
GRO
0 - 2
SCH
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 2
AJA
10%
17%
73%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
SCH
0 - 0
TWE
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
WIL
3 - 1
SCH
26%
23%
51%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SCH
3 - 0
ADO
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ZWO
1 - 0
TWE
40%
25%
35%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
SPA
3 - 2
ZWO
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ZWO
2 - 1
VVV
46%
24%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ZWO
0 - 2
AJA
9%
15%
76%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
HER
2 - 1
ZWO
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |