Heerenveen vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
RJC
1 - 0
SCH
28%
24%
47%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SCH
2 - 4
UTR
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
SCH
0 - 4
AZA
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 1
SCH
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SCH
3 - 2
WIL
84%
11%
5%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
UTR
3 - 0
HER
54%
23%
24%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SCH
2 - 4
UTR
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ZWO
1 - 2
UTR
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
UTR
3 - 0
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
AZA
6 - 0
UTR
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |