Heerenveen vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
RJC
3 - 3
SCH
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SCH
4 - 2
GRO
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
TWE
1 - 1
SCH
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
SCH
3 - 3
AJA
20%
21%
60%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SCH
2 - 4
HER
63%
20%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
HER
0 - 3
TWE
25%
25%
50%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
TWE
2 - 2
PSV
28%
24%
48%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
TWE
1 - 1
SCH
58%
23%
20%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 0
TWE
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
TWE
6 - 0
UTR
59%
23%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |