Heerenveen vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
FEY
2 - 2
SCH
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 5
TWE
25%
25%
50%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
AJA
5 - 1
SCH
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 2
NEC
59%
22%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
RJC
0 - 0
SCH
47%
24%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
GRO
0 - 3
AZA
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 2
GRO
33%
25%
43%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
GRO
4 - 2
ADO
48%
25%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
RJC
2 - 1
GRO
38%
24%
38%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
MLL
2 - 2
GRO
60%
21%
20%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |