Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
36.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
TWE
2 - 2
SCH
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
AZA
3 - 1
SCH
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SCH
2 - 2
ADO
81%
13%
7%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SCH
1 - 1
TWE
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
VOL
0 - 2
SCH
31%
24%
45%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
AZA
3 - 1
SCH
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
TWE
3 - 0
AZA
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
AJA
1 - 1
AZA
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
AZA
1 - 2
VIT
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 1
AZA
24%
24%
52%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |