Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 1
SCH
42%
25%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 0
SCH
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
SCH
2 - 1
BOS
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
NEC
3 - 2
SCH
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
SCH
1 - 0
KSK
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
BOS
0 - 1
AZA
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
AZA
0 - 2
FEY
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2005 |
AZA
1 - 1
NEC
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
RBC
0 - 2
AZA
20%
23%
57%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
GRA
2 - 0
AZA
35%
24%
42%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |